Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000318 0.000356 0.000398 0.000446 0.000501 0.000562 0.000634
2024-12-29 0.000246 0.000301 0.000365 0.000447 0.000550 0.000675 0.000840
2025-01-05 0.000212 0.000275 0.000356 0.000466 0.000615 0.000811 0.001090
2025-01-12 0.000178 0.000243 0.000330 0.000456 0.000636 0.000889 0.001274
2025-01-19 0.000149 0.000212 0.000300 0.000433 0.000634 0.000930 0.001407
2025-01-26 0.000135 0.000198 0.000291 0.000438 0.000670 0.001028 0.001639
2025-02-02 0.000127 0.000193 0.000293 0.000459 0.000732 0.001174 0.001966
2025-02-09 0.000114 0.000179 0.000281 0.000454 0.000751 0.001252 0.002192
2025-02-16 0.000106 0.000170 0.000275 0.000459 0.000785 0.001359 0.002485
2025-02-23 0.000097 0.000160 0.000264 0.000454 0.000803 0.001438 0.002736
2025-03-02 0.000090 0.000152 0.000258 0.000456 0.000833 0.001543 0.003053
2025-03-09 0.000084 0.000145 0.000252 0.000458 0.000861 0.001647 0.003385
2025-03-16 0.000075 0.000133 0.000235 0.000437 0.000845 0.001668 0.003557
2025-03-23 0.000070 0.000127 0.000230 0.000440 0.000877 0.001790 0.003974
2025-03-30 0.000068 0.000125 0.000233 0.000458 0.000944 0.001998 0.004631
2025-04-06 0.000062 0.000117 0.000222 0.000448 0.000949 0.002070 0.004979
2025-04-13 0.000056 0.000107 0.000207 0.000426 0.000924 0.002070 0.005145
2025-04-20 0.000053 0.000103 0.000204 0.000431 0.000960 0.002220 0.005729
2025-04-27 0.000052 0.000103 0.000208 0.000451 0.001036 0.002478 0.006665
2025-05-04 0.000049 0.000098 0.000202 0.000447 0.001051 0.002584 0.007196
2025-05-11 0.000046 0.000095 0.000199 0.000451 0.001089 0.002756 0.007960
2025-05-18 0.000043 0.000091 0.000193 0.000447 0.001104 0.002869 0.008567
2025-05-25 0.000041 0.000088 0.000191 0.000449 0.001136 0.003037 0.009390